The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions.
Identifieur interne : 000170 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000169; suivant : 000171The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions.
Auteurs : Enli Wang [Australie] ; Pierre Martre [France] ; Zhigan Zhao [République populaire de Chine] ; Frank Ewert [Allemagne] ; Andrea Maiorano [France] ; Reimund P. Rötter [Allemagne] ; Bruce A. Kimball [États-Unis] ; Michael J. Ottman [États-Unis] ; Gerard W. Wall [États-Unis] ; Jeffrey W. White [États-Unis] ; Matthew P. Reynolds [Mexique] ; Phillip D. Alderman [Mexique] ; Pramod K. Aggarwal [Inde] ; Jakarat Anothai [États-Unis] ; Bruno Basso [États-Unis] ; Christian Biernath [Allemagne] ; Davide Cammarano [États-Unis] ; Andrew J. Challinor [Royaume-Uni] ; Giacomo De Sanctis [Italie] ; Jordi Doltra [Espagne] ; Elias Fereres [Espagne] ; Margarita Garcia-Vila [Espagne] ; Sebastian Gayler [Allemagne] ; Gerrit Hoogenboom [États-Unis] ; Leslie A. Hunt [Canada] ; Roberto C. Izaurralde [États-Unis] ; Mohamed Jabloun [Danemark] ; Curtis D. Jones [États-Unis] ; Kurt C. Kersebaum [Allemagne] ; Ann-Kristin Koehler [Royaume-Uni] ; Leilei Liu [République populaire de Chine] ; Christoph Müller [Allemagne] ; Soora Naresh Kumar [Inde] ; Claas Nendel [Allemagne] ; Garry O'Leary [Australie] ; J Rgen E. Olesen [Danemark] ; Taru Palosuo [Finlande] ; Eckart Priesack [Allemagne] ; Ehsan Eyshi Rezaei [Allemagne] ; Dominique Ripoche [France] ; Alex C. Ruane [États-Unis] ; Mikhail A. Semenov [Royaume-Uni] ; Iurii Shcherbak [États-Unis] ; Claudio Stöckle [États-Unis] ; Pierre Stratonovitch [Royaume-Uni] ; Thilo Streck [Allemagne] ; Iwan Supit [Pays-Bas] ; Fulu Tao [Finlande] ; Peter Thorburn [Australie] ; Katharina Waha [Allemagne] ; Daniel Wallach [France] ; Zhimin Wang [République populaire de Chine] ; Joost Wolf [Pays-Bas] ; Yan Zhu [République populaire de Chine] ; Senthold Asseng [États-Unis]Source :
- Nature plants [ 2055-0278 ] ; 2017.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- MESH :
- croissance et développement : Produits agricoles.
- Agriculture, Modèles biologiques, Simulation numérique, Température.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- growth & development : Crops, Agricultural.
- Agriculture, Computer Simulation, Models, Biological, Temperature.
Abstract
Increasing the accuracy of crop productivity estimates is a key element in planning adaptation strategies to ensure global food security under climate change. Process-based crop models are effective means to project climate impact on crop yield, but have large uncertainty in yield simulations. Here, we show that variations in the mathematical functions currently used to simulate temperature responses of physiological processes in 29 wheat models account for >50% of uncertainty in simulated grain yields for mean growing season temperatures from 14 °C to 33 °C. We derived a set of new temperature response functions that when substituted in four wheat models reduced the error in grain yield simulations across seven global sites with different temperature regimes by 19% to 50% (42% average). We anticipate the improved temperature responses to be a key step to improve modelling of crops under rising temperature and climate change, leading to higher skill of crop yield projections.
DOI: 10.1038/nplants.2017.102
PubMed: 28714956
Affiliations:
- Allemagne, Australie, Canada, Danemark, Espagne, Finlande, France, Inde, Italie, Mexique, Pays-Bas, Royaume-Uni, République populaire de Chine, États-Unis
- Angleterre, Bade-Wurtemberg, Basse-Saxe, Brandebourg, District de Cologne, District de Stuttgart, Gueldre (province), Maryland, Rhénanie-du-Nord-Westphalie, Yorkshire-et-Humber
- Bonn, College Park (Maryland), Göttingen, Leeds, Potsdam, Pékin, Stuttgart, Wageningue
- Université de Hohenheim, Université de Leeds, Université de Wageningue, Université du Maryland
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Le document en format XML
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Rötter</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Crop Sciences, University of Goettingen, Tropical Plant Production and Agricultural Systems Modelling (TROPAGS), 37077 Göttingen, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Crop Sciences, University of Goettingen, Tropical Plant Production and Agricultural Systems Modelling (TROPAGS), 37077 Göttingen</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="land" nuts="2">Basse-Saxe</region><settlement type="city">Göttingen</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kimball, Bruce A" sort="Kimball, Bruce A" uniqKey="Kimball B" first="Bruce A" last="Kimball">Bruce A. 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Ottman</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>The School of Plant Sciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona 85721, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>The School of Plant Sciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona 85721</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Arizona 85721</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wall, Gerard W" sort="Wall, Gerard W" uniqKey="Wall G" first="Gerard W" last="Wall">Gerard W. 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White</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>USDA, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Arid-Land Agricultural Research Center, Maricopa, Arizona 85138, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>USDA, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Arid-Land Agricultural Research Center, Maricopa, Arizona 85138</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Arizona 85138</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Reynolds, Matthew P" sort="Reynolds, Matthew P" uniqKey="Reynolds M" first="Matthew P" last="Reynolds">Matthew P. Reynolds</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Global Wheat Program, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) Apdo, 06600 Mexico, D.F, Mexico.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Mexique</country><wicri:regionArea>Global Wheat Program, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) Apdo, 06600 Mexico, D.F</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>D.F</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Alderman, Phillip D" sort="Alderman, Phillip D" uniqKey="Alderman P" first="Phillip D" last="Alderman">Phillip D. Alderman</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Global Wheat Program, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) Apdo, 06600 Mexico, D.F, Mexico.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Mexique</country><wicri:regionArea>Global Wheat Program, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) Apdo, 06600 Mexico, D.F</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>D.F</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Aggarwal, Pramod K" sort="Aggarwal, Pramod K" uniqKey="Aggarwal P" first="Pramod K" last="Aggarwal">Pramod K. Aggarwal</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security, Borlaug Institute for South Asia, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), New Delhi 110012, India.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Inde</country><wicri:regionArea>CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security, Borlaug Institute for South Asia, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), New Delhi 110012</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>New Delhi 110012</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Anothai, Jakarat" sort="Anothai, Jakarat" uniqKey="Anothai J" first="Jakarat" last="Anothai">Jakarat Anothai</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>AgWeatherNet Program, Washington State University, Prosser, Washington 99350-8694, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>AgWeatherNet Program, Washington State University, Prosser, Washington 99350-8694</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Washington 99350-8694</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Basso, Bruno" sort="Basso, Bruno" uniqKey="Basso B" first="Bruno" last="Basso">Bruno Basso</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences and W.K. Kellogg Biological Station, Michigan State University East Lansing, Michigan 48823, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences and W.K. Kellogg Biological Station, Michigan State University East Lansing, Michigan 48823</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Michigan 48823</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Biernath, Christian" sort="Biernath, Christian" uniqKey="Biernath C" first="Christian" last="Biernath">Christian Biernath</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Neuherberg, 85764, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Neuherberg, 85764</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>85764</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>85764</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>85764</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Cammarano, Davide" sort="Cammarano, Davide" uniqKey="Cammarano D" first="Davide" last="Cammarano">Davide Cammarano</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida 32611, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida 32611</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Florida 32611</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Challinor, Andrew J" sort="Challinor, Andrew J" uniqKey="Challinor A" first="Andrew J" last="Challinor">Andrew J. Challinor</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS29JT, UK.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS29JT</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université de Leeds</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Leeds</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="région" nuts="1">Yorkshire-et-Humber</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="De Sanctis, Giacomo" sort="De Sanctis, Giacomo" uniqKey="De Sanctis G" first="Giacomo" last="De Sanctis">Giacomo De Sanctis</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>GMO Unit, European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Via Carlo Magno, 1A, 43126 Parma, Italy.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Italie</country><wicri:regionArea>GMO Unit, European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Via Carlo Magno, 1A, 43126 Parma</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>43126 Parma</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Doltra, Jordi" sort="Doltra, Jordi" uniqKey="Doltra J" first="Jordi" last="Doltra">Jordi Doltra</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Cantabrian Agricultural Research and Training Centre (CIFA), 39600 Muriedas, Spain.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Cantabrian Agricultural Research and Training Centre (CIFA), 39600 Muriedas</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>39600 Muriedas</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Fereres, Elias" sort="Fereres, Elias" uniqKey="Fereres E" first="Elias" last="Fereres">Elias Fereres</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Dep. Agronomia, University of Cordoba, Apartado 3048, 14080 Cordoba, Spain.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Dep. Agronomia, University of Cordoba, Apartado 3048, 14080 Cordoba</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>14080 Cordoba</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Garcia Vila, Margarita" sort="Garcia Vila, Margarita" uniqKey="Garcia Vila M" first="Margarita" last="Garcia-Vila">Margarita Garcia-Vila</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Dep. Agronomia, University of Cordoba, Apartado 3048, 14080 Cordoba, Spain.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Dep. Agronomia, University of Cordoba, Apartado 3048, 14080 Cordoba</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>14080 Cordoba</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Gayler, Sebastian" sort="Gayler, Sebastian" uniqKey="Gayler S" first="Sebastian" last="Gayler">Sebastian Gayler</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, University of Hohenheim, 70599 Stuttgart, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, University of Hohenheim, 70599 Stuttgart</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="land" nuts="1">Bade-Wurtemberg</region><region type="district" nuts="2">District de Stuttgart</region><settlement type="city">Stuttgart</settlement><settlement type="city">Stuttgart</settlement></placeName><orgName type="university">Université de Hohenheim</orgName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hoogenboom, Gerrit" sort="Hoogenboom, Gerrit" uniqKey="Hoogenboom G" first="Gerrit" last="Hoogenboom">Gerrit Hoogenboom</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>AgWeatherNet Program, Washington State University, Prosser, Washington 99350-8694, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>AgWeatherNet Program, Washington State University, Prosser, Washington 99350-8694</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Washington 99350-8694</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hunt, Leslie A" sort="Hunt, Leslie A" uniqKey="Hunt L" first="Leslie A" last="Hunt">Leslie A. Hunt</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Plant Agriculture, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario N1G 2W1, Canada.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Canada</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Plant Agriculture, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario N1G 2W1</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Ontario N1G 2W1</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Izaurralde, Roberto C" sort="Izaurralde, Roberto C" uniqKey="Izaurralde R" first="Roberto C" last="Izaurralde">Roberto C. Izaurralde</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université du Maryland</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">College Park (Maryland)</settlement><region type="state">Maryland</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Jabloun, Mohamed" sort="Jabloun, Mohamed" uniqKey="Jabloun M" first="Mohamed" last="Jabloun">Mohamed Jabloun</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, 8830 Tjele, Denmark.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Danemark</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, 8830 Tjele</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>8830 Tjele</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Jones, Curtis D" sort="Jones, Curtis D" uniqKey="Jones C" first="Curtis D" last="Jones">Curtis D. Jones</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université du Maryland</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">College Park (Maryland)</settlement><region type="state">Maryland</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kersebaum, Kurt C" sort="Kersebaum, Kurt C" uniqKey="Kersebaum K" first="Kurt C" last="Kersebaum">Kurt C. Kersebaum</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Landscape Systems Analysis, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, 15374 Müncheberg, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Landscape Systems Analysis, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, 15374 Müncheberg</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>15374 Müncheberg</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>15374 Müncheberg</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>15374 Müncheberg</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Koehler, Ann Kristin" sort="Koehler, Ann Kristin" uniqKey="Koehler A" first="Ann-Kristin" last="Koehler">Ann-Kristin Koehler</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS29JT, UK.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS29JT</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université de Leeds</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Leeds</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="région" nuts="1">Yorkshire-et-Humber</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Liu, Leilei" sort="Liu, Leilei" uniqKey="Liu L" first="Leilei" last="Liu">Leilei Liu</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210095, China.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210095</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Jiangsu 210095</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Muller, Christoph" sort="Muller, Christoph" uniqKey="Muller C" first="Christoph" last="Müller">Christoph Müller</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="land" nuts="2">Brandebourg</region><settlement type="city">Potsdam</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Naresh Kumar, Soora" sort="Naresh Kumar, Soora" uniqKey="Naresh Kumar S" first="Soora" last="Naresh Kumar">Soora Naresh Kumar</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Centre for Environment Science and Climate Resilient Agriculture, Indian Agricultural Research Institute, IARI PUSA, New Delhi 110 012, India.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Inde</country><wicri:regionArea>Centre for Environment Science and Climate Resilient Agriculture, Indian Agricultural Research Institute, IARI PUSA, New Delhi 110 012</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>New Delhi 110 012</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Nendel, Claas" sort="Nendel, Claas" uniqKey="Nendel C" first="Claas" last="Nendel">Claas Nendel</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Landscape Systems Analysis, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, 15374 Müncheberg, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Landscape Systems Analysis, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, 15374 Müncheberg</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>15374 Müncheberg</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>15374 Müncheberg</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>15374 Müncheberg</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="O Leary, Garry" sort="O Leary, Garry" uniqKey="O Leary G" first="Garry" last="O'Leary">Garry O'Leary</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Economic Development, Landscape &Water Sciences, Jobs, Transport and Resources, Horsham 3400, Australia.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Economic Development, Landscape &Water Sciences, Jobs, Transport and Resources, Horsham 3400</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Horsham 3400</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Olesen, J Rgen E" sort="Olesen, J Rgen E" uniqKey="Olesen J" first="J Rgen E" last="Olesen">J Rgen E. Olesen</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, 8830 Tjele, Denmark.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Danemark</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, 8830 Tjele</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>8830 Tjele</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Palosuo, Taru" sort="Palosuo, Taru" uniqKey="Palosuo T" first="Taru" last="Palosuo">Taru Palosuo</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Latokartanonkaari 9, 00790 Helsinki, Finland.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Finlande</country><wicri:regionArea>Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Latokartanonkaari 9, 00790 Helsinki</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>00790 Helsinki</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Priesack, Eckart" sort="Priesack, Eckart" uniqKey="Priesack E" first="Eckart" last="Priesack">Eckart Priesack</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Neuherberg, 85764, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Neuherberg, 85764</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>85764</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>85764</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>85764</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Eyshi Rezaei, Ehsan" sort="Eyshi Rezaei, Ehsan" uniqKey="Eyshi Rezaei E" first="Ehsan" last="Eyshi Rezaei">Ehsan Eyshi Rezaei</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation (INRES), University of Bonn, 53115 Bonn, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation (INRES), University of Bonn, 53115 Bonn</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="land" nuts="1">Rhénanie-du-Nord-Westphalie</region><region type="district" nuts="2">District de Cologne</region><settlement type="city">Bonn</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ripoche, Dominique" sort="Ripoche, Dominique" uniqKey="Ripoche D" first="Dominique" last="Ripoche">Dominique Ripoche</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>INRA, US1116 AgroClim, 84 914 Avignon, France.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>INRA, US1116 AgroClim, 84 914 Avignon</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>84 914 Avignon</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>84 914 Avignon</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ruane, Alex C" sort="Ruane, Alex C" uniqKey="Ruane A" first="Alex C" last="Ruane">Alex C. Ruane</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, New York 10025, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, New York 10025</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>New York 10025</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Semenov, Mikhail A" sort="Semenov, Mikhail A" uniqKey="Semenov M" first="Mikhail A" last="Semenov">Mikhail A. Semenov</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Computational and Systems Biology Department, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Herts AL5 2JQ, UK.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Computational and Systems Biology Department, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Herts AL5 2JQ</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Herts AL5 2JQ</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Shcherbak, Iurii" sort="Shcherbak, Iurii" uniqKey="Shcherbak I" first="Iurii" last="Shcherbak">Iurii Shcherbak</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences and W.K. Kellogg Biological Station, Michigan State University East Lansing, Michigan 48823, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences and W.K. Kellogg Biological Station, Michigan State University East Lansing, Michigan 48823</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Michigan 48823</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Stockle, Claudio" sort="Stockle, Claudio" uniqKey="Stockle C" first="Claudio" last="Stöckle">Claudio Stöckle</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Biological Systems Engineering, Washington State University, Pullman, Washington 99164-6120, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Biological Systems Engineering, Washington State University, Pullman, Washington 99164-6120</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Washington 99164-6120</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Stratonovitch, Pierre" sort="Stratonovitch, Pierre" uniqKey="Stratonovitch P" first="Pierre" last="Stratonovitch">Pierre Stratonovitch</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Computational and Systems Biology Department, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Herts AL5 2JQ, UK.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Computational and Systems Biology Department, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Herts AL5 2JQ</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Herts AL5 2JQ</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Streck, Thilo" sort="Streck, Thilo" uniqKey="Streck T" first="Thilo" last="Streck">Thilo Streck</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, University of Hohenheim, 70599 Stuttgart, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, University of Hohenheim, 70599 Stuttgart</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="land" nuts="1">Bade-Wurtemberg</region><region type="district" nuts="2">District de Stuttgart</region><settlement type="city">Stuttgart</settlement><settlement type="city">Stuttgart</settlement></placeName><orgName type="university">Université de Hohenheim</orgName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Supit, Iwan" sort="Supit, Iwan" uniqKey="Supit I" first="Iwan" last="Supit">Iwan Supit</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>PPS and WSG &CALM, Wageningen University, 6700AA Wageningen, The Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Pays-Bas</country><wicri:regionArea>PPS and WSG &CALM, Wageningen University, 6700AA Wageningen</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université de Wageningue</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Wageningue</settlement><region nuts="2">Gueldre (province)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Tao, Fulu" sort="Tao, Fulu" uniqKey="Tao F" first="Fulu" last="Tao">Fulu Tao</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Latokartanonkaari 9, 00790 Helsinki, Finland.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Finlande</country><wicri:regionArea>Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Latokartanonkaari 9, 00790 Helsinki</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>00790 Helsinki</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Thorburn, Peter" sort="Thorburn, Peter" uniqKey="Thorburn P" first="Peter" last="Thorburn">Peter Thorburn</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>CSIRO Agriculture and Food, St Lucia, Queensland 4067, Australia.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>CSIRO Agriculture and Food, St Lucia, Queensland 4067</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Queensland 4067</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Waha, Katharina" sort="Waha, Katharina" uniqKey="Waha K" first="Katharina" last="Waha">Katharina Waha</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="land" nuts="2">Brandebourg</region><settlement type="city">Potsdam</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wallach, Daniel" sort="Wallach, Daniel" uniqKey="Wallach D" first="Daniel" last="Wallach">Daniel Wallach</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>INRA, UMR 1248 Agrosystèmes et développement territorial (AGIR), 31 326 Castanet-Tolosan, France.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>INRA, UMR 1248 Agrosystèmes et développement territorial (AGIR), 31 326 Castanet-Tolosan</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>31 326 Castanet-Tolosan</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>31 326 Castanet-Tolosan</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wang, Zhimin" sort="Wang, Zhimin" uniqKey="Wang Z" first="Zhimin" last="Wang">Zhimin Wang</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>College of Agronomy and Biotechnology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>College of Agronomy and Biotechnology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Pékin</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wolf, Joost" sort="Wolf, Joost" uniqKey="Wolf J" first="Joost" last="Wolf">Joost Wolf</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>PPS and WSG &CALM, Wageningen University, 6700AA Wageningen, The Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Pays-Bas</country><wicri:regionArea>PPS and WSG &CALM, Wageningen University, 6700AA Wageningen</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université de Wageningue</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Wageningue</settlement><region nuts="2">Gueldre (province)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Zhu, Yan" sort="Zhu, Yan" uniqKey="Zhu Y" first="Yan" last="Zhu">Yan Zhu</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210095, China.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210095</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Jiangsu 210095</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Asseng, Senthold" sort="Asseng, Senthold" uniqKey="Asseng S" first="Senthold" last="Asseng">Senthold Asseng</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida 32611, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida 32611</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Florida 32611</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><date when="2017">2017</date><idno type="RBID">pubmed:28714956</idno><idno type="pmid">28714956</idno><idno type="doi">10.1038/nplants.2017.102</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Corpus">000871</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">000871</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Curation">000868</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Curation">000868</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Checkpoint">000868</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Checkpoint" wicri:step="PubMed">000868</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Merge">004B28</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Curation">004B28</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Checkpoint">004B28</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Merge">000165</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Curation">000170</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Exploration">000170</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions.</title><author><name sortKey="Wang, Enli" sort="Wang, Enli" uniqKey="Wang E" first="Enli" last="Wang">Enli Wang</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>CSIRO Agriculture and Food, Black Mountain, Australian Capital Territory 2601, Australia.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>CSIRO Agriculture and Food, Black Mountain, Australian Capital Territory 2601</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Australian Capital Territory 2601</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Martre, Pierre" sort="Martre, Pierre" uniqKey="Martre P" first="Pierre" last="Martre">Pierre Martre</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>UMR LEPSE, INRA, Montpellier SupAgro, 2 Place Viala, 34 060 Montpellier, France.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>UMR LEPSE, INRA, Montpellier SupAgro, 2 Place Viala, 34 060 Montpellier</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>34 060 Montpellier</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>34 060 Montpellier</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Zhao, Zhigan" sort="Zhao, Zhigan" uniqKey="Zhao Z" first="Zhigan" last="Zhao">Zhigan Zhao</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>College of Agronomy and Biotechnology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>College of Agronomy and Biotechnology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Pékin</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ewert, Frank" sort="Ewert, Frank" uniqKey="Ewert F" first="Frank" last="Ewert">Frank Ewert</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation (INRES), University of Bonn, 53115 Bonn, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation (INRES), University of Bonn, 53115 Bonn</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="land" nuts="1">Rhénanie-du-Nord-Westphalie</region><region type="district" nuts="2">District de Cologne</region><settlement type="city">Bonn</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Maiorano, Andrea" sort="Maiorano, Andrea" uniqKey="Maiorano A" first="Andrea" last="Maiorano">Andrea Maiorano</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>UMR LEPSE, INRA, Montpellier SupAgro, 2 Place Viala, 34 060 Montpellier, France.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>UMR LEPSE, INRA, Montpellier SupAgro, 2 Place Viala, 34 060 Montpellier</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>34 060 Montpellier</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>34 060 Montpellier</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Rotter, Reimund P" sort="Rotter, Reimund P" uniqKey="Rotter R" first="Reimund P" last="Rötter">Reimund P. Rötter</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Crop Sciences, University of Goettingen, Tropical Plant Production and Agricultural Systems Modelling (TROPAGS), 37077 Göttingen, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Crop Sciences, University of Goettingen, Tropical Plant Production and Agricultural Systems Modelling (TROPAGS), 37077 Göttingen</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="land" nuts="2">Basse-Saxe</region><settlement type="city">Göttingen</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kimball, Bruce A" sort="Kimball, Bruce A" uniqKey="Kimball B" first="Bruce A" last="Kimball">Bruce A. Kimball</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>USDA, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Arid-Land Agricultural Research Center, Maricopa, Arizona 85138, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>USDA, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Arid-Land Agricultural Research Center, Maricopa, Arizona 85138</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Arizona 85138</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ottman, Michael J" sort="Ottman, Michael J" uniqKey="Ottman M" first="Michael J" last="Ottman">Michael J. Ottman</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>The School of Plant Sciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona 85721, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>The School of Plant Sciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona 85721</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Arizona 85721</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wall, Gerard W" sort="Wall, Gerard W" uniqKey="Wall G" first="Gerard W" last="Wall">Gerard W. Wall</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>USDA, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Arid-Land Agricultural Research Center, Maricopa, Arizona 85138, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>USDA, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Arid-Land Agricultural Research Center, Maricopa, Arizona 85138</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Arizona 85138</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="White, Jeffrey W" sort="White, Jeffrey W" uniqKey="White J" first="Jeffrey W" last="White">Jeffrey W. White</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>USDA, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Arid-Land Agricultural Research Center, Maricopa, Arizona 85138, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>USDA, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Arid-Land Agricultural Research Center, Maricopa, Arizona 85138</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Arizona 85138</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Reynolds, Matthew P" sort="Reynolds, Matthew P" uniqKey="Reynolds M" first="Matthew P" last="Reynolds">Matthew P. Reynolds</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Global Wheat Program, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) Apdo, 06600 Mexico, D.F, Mexico.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Mexique</country><wicri:regionArea>Global Wheat Program, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) Apdo, 06600 Mexico, D.F</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>D.F</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Alderman, Phillip D" sort="Alderman, Phillip D" uniqKey="Alderman P" first="Phillip D" last="Alderman">Phillip D. Alderman</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Global Wheat Program, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) Apdo, 06600 Mexico, D.F, Mexico.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Mexique</country><wicri:regionArea>Global Wheat Program, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) Apdo, 06600 Mexico, D.F</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>D.F</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Aggarwal, Pramod K" sort="Aggarwal, Pramod K" uniqKey="Aggarwal P" first="Pramod K" last="Aggarwal">Pramod K. Aggarwal</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security, Borlaug Institute for South Asia, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), New Delhi 110012, India.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Inde</country><wicri:regionArea>CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security, Borlaug Institute for South Asia, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), New Delhi 110012</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>New Delhi 110012</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Anothai, Jakarat" sort="Anothai, Jakarat" uniqKey="Anothai J" first="Jakarat" last="Anothai">Jakarat Anothai</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>AgWeatherNet Program, Washington State University, Prosser, Washington 99350-8694, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>AgWeatherNet Program, Washington State University, Prosser, Washington 99350-8694</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Washington 99350-8694</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Basso, Bruno" sort="Basso, Bruno" uniqKey="Basso B" first="Bruno" last="Basso">Bruno Basso</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences and W.K. Kellogg Biological Station, Michigan State University East Lansing, Michigan 48823, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences and W.K. Kellogg Biological Station, Michigan State University East Lansing, Michigan 48823</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Michigan 48823</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Biernath, Christian" sort="Biernath, Christian" uniqKey="Biernath C" first="Christian" last="Biernath">Christian Biernath</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Neuherberg, 85764, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Neuherberg, 85764</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>85764</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>85764</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>85764</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Cammarano, Davide" sort="Cammarano, Davide" uniqKey="Cammarano D" first="Davide" last="Cammarano">Davide Cammarano</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida 32611, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida 32611</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Florida 32611</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Challinor, Andrew J" sort="Challinor, Andrew J" uniqKey="Challinor A" first="Andrew J" last="Challinor">Andrew J. Challinor</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS29JT, UK.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS29JT</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université de Leeds</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Leeds</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="région" nuts="1">Yorkshire-et-Humber</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="De Sanctis, Giacomo" sort="De Sanctis, Giacomo" uniqKey="De Sanctis G" first="Giacomo" last="De Sanctis">Giacomo De Sanctis</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>GMO Unit, European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Via Carlo Magno, 1A, 43126 Parma, Italy.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Italie</country><wicri:regionArea>GMO Unit, European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Via Carlo Magno, 1A, 43126 Parma</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>43126 Parma</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Doltra, Jordi" sort="Doltra, Jordi" uniqKey="Doltra J" first="Jordi" last="Doltra">Jordi Doltra</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Cantabrian Agricultural Research and Training Centre (CIFA), 39600 Muriedas, Spain.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Cantabrian Agricultural Research and Training Centre (CIFA), 39600 Muriedas</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>39600 Muriedas</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Fereres, Elias" sort="Fereres, Elias" uniqKey="Fereres E" first="Elias" last="Fereres">Elias Fereres</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Dep. Agronomia, University of Cordoba, Apartado 3048, 14080 Cordoba, Spain.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Dep. Agronomia, University of Cordoba, Apartado 3048, 14080 Cordoba</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>14080 Cordoba</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Garcia Vila, Margarita" sort="Garcia Vila, Margarita" uniqKey="Garcia Vila M" first="Margarita" last="Garcia-Vila">Margarita Garcia-Vila</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Dep. Agronomia, University of Cordoba, Apartado 3048, 14080 Cordoba, Spain.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Dep. Agronomia, University of Cordoba, Apartado 3048, 14080 Cordoba</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>14080 Cordoba</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Gayler, Sebastian" sort="Gayler, Sebastian" uniqKey="Gayler S" first="Sebastian" last="Gayler">Sebastian Gayler</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, University of Hohenheim, 70599 Stuttgart, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, University of Hohenheim, 70599 Stuttgart</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="land" nuts="1">Bade-Wurtemberg</region><region type="district" nuts="2">District de Stuttgart</region><settlement type="city">Stuttgart</settlement><settlement type="city">Stuttgart</settlement></placeName><orgName type="university">Université de Hohenheim</orgName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hoogenboom, Gerrit" sort="Hoogenboom, Gerrit" uniqKey="Hoogenboom G" first="Gerrit" last="Hoogenboom">Gerrit Hoogenboom</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>AgWeatherNet Program, Washington State University, Prosser, Washington 99350-8694, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>AgWeatherNet Program, Washington State University, Prosser, Washington 99350-8694</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Washington 99350-8694</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hunt, Leslie A" sort="Hunt, Leslie A" uniqKey="Hunt L" first="Leslie A" last="Hunt">Leslie A. Hunt</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Plant Agriculture, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario N1G 2W1, Canada.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Canada</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Plant Agriculture, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario N1G 2W1</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Ontario N1G 2W1</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Izaurralde, Roberto C" sort="Izaurralde, Roberto C" uniqKey="Izaurralde R" first="Roberto C" last="Izaurralde">Roberto C. Izaurralde</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université du Maryland</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">College Park (Maryland)</settlement><region type="state">Maryland</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Jabloun, Mohamed" sort="Jabloun, Mohamed" uniqKey="Jabloun M" first="Mohamed" last="Jabloun">Mohamed Jabloun</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, 8830 Tjele, Denmark.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Danemark</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, 8830 Tjele</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>8830 Tjele</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Jones, Curtis D" sort="Jones, Curtis D" uniqKey="Jones C" first="Curtis D" last="Jones">Curtis D. Jones</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université du Maryland</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">College Park (Maryland)</settlement><region type="state">Maryland</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kersebaum, Kurt C" sort="Kersebaum, Kurt C" uniqKey="Kersebaum K" first="Kurt C" last="Kersebaum">Kurt C. Kersebaum</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Landscape Systems Analysis, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, 15374 Müncheberg, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Landscape Systems Analysis, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, 15374 Müncheberg</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>15374 Müncheberg</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>15374 Müncheberg</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>15374 Müncheberg</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Koehler, Ann Kristin" sort="Koehler, Ann Kristin" uniqKey="Koehler A" first="Ann-Kristin" last="Koehler">Ann-Kristin Koehler</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS29JT, UK.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS29JT</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université de Leeds</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Leeds</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="région" nuts="1">Yorkshire-et-Humber</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Liu, Leilei" sort="Liu, Leilei" uniqKey="Liu L" first="Leilei" last="Liu">Leilei Liu</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210095, China.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210095</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Jiangsu 210095</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Muller, Christoph" sort="Muller, Christoph" uniqKey="Muller C" first="Christoph" last="Müller">Christoph Müller</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="land" nuts="2">Brandebourg</region><settlement type="city">Potsdam</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Naresh Kumar, Soora" sort="Naresh Kumar, Soora" uniqKey="Naresh Kumar S" first="Soora" last="Naresh Kumar">Soora Naresh Kumar</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Centre for Environment Science and Climate Resilient Agriculture, Indian Agricultural Research Institute, IARI PUSA, New Delhi 110 012, India.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Inde</country><wicri:regionArea>Centre for Environment Science and Climate Resilient Agriculture, Indian Agricultural Research Institute, IARI PUSA, New Delhi 110 012</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>New Delhi 110 012</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Nendel, Claas" sort="Nendel, Claas" uniqKey="Nendel C" first="Claas" last="Nendel">Claas Nendel</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Landscape Systems Analysis, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, 15374 Müncheberg, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Landscape Systems Analysis, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, 15374 Müncheberg</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>15374 Müncheberg</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>15374 Müncheberg</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>15374 Müncheberg</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="O Leary, Garry" sort="O Leary, Garry" uniqKey="O Leary G" first="Garry" last="O'Leary">Garry O'Leary</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Economic Development, Landscape &Water Sciences, Jobs, Transport and Resources, Horsham 3400, Australia.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Economic Development, Landscape &Water Sciences, Jobs, Transport and Resources, Horsham 3400</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Horsham 3400</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Olesen, J Rgen E" sort="Olesen, J Rgen E" uniqKey="Olesen J" first="J Rgen E" last="Olesen">J Rgen E. Olesen</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, 8830 Tjele, Denmark.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Danemark</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, 8830 Tjele</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>8830 Tjele</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Palosuo, Taru" sort="Palosuo, Taru" uniqKey="Palosuo T" first="Taru" last="Palosuo">Taru Palosuo</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Latokartanonkaari 9, 00790 Helsinki, Finland.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Finlande</country><wicri:regionArea>Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Latokartanonkaari 9, 00790 Helsinki</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>00790 Helsinki</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Priesack, Eckart" sort="Priesack, Eckart" uniqKey="Priesack E" first="Eckart" last="Priesack">Eckart Priesack</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Neuherberg, 85764, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Neuherberg, 85764</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>85764</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>85764</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>85764</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Eyshi Rezaei, Ehsan" sort="Eyshi Rezaei, Ehsan" uniqKey="Eyshi Rezaei E" first="Ehsan" last="Eyshi Rezaei">Ehsan Eyshi Rezaei</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation (INRES), University of Bonn, 53115 Bonn, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation (INRES), University of Bonn, 53115 Bonn</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="land" nuts="1">Rhénanie-du-Nord-Westphalie</region><region type="district" nuts="2">District de Cologne</region><settlement type="city">Bonn</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ripoche, Dominique" sort="Ripoche, Dominique" uniqKey="Ripoche D" first="Dominique" last="Ripoche">Dominique Ripoche</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>INRA, US1116 AgroClim, 84 914 Avignon, France.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>INRA, US1116 AgroClim, 84 914 Avignon</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>84 914 Avignon</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>84 914 Avignon</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ruane, Alex C" sort="Ruane, Alex C" uniqKey="Ruane A" first="Alex C" last="Ruane">Alex C. Ruane</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, New York 10025, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, New York 10025</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>New York 10025</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Semenov, Mikhail A" sort="Semenov, Mikhail A" uniqKey="Semenov M" first="Mikhail A" last="Semenov">Mikhail A. Semenov</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Computational and Systems Biology Department, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Herts AL5 2JQ, UK.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Computational and Systems Biology Department, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Herts AL5 2JQ</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Herts AL5 2JQ</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Shcherbak, Iurii" sort="Shcherbak, Iurii" uniqKey="Shcherbak I" first="Iurii" last="Shcherbak">Iurii Shcherbak</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences and W.K. Kellogg Biological Station, Michigan State University East Lansing, Michigan 48823, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences and W.K. Kellogg Biological Station, Michigan State University East Lansing, Michigan 48823</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Michigan 48823</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Stockle, Claudio" sort="Stockle, Claudio" uniqKey="Stockle C" first="Claudio" last="Stöckle">Claudio Stöckle</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Biological Systems Engineering, Washington State University, Pullman, Washington 99164-6120, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Biological Systems Engineering, Washington State University, Pullman, Washington 99164-6120</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Washington 99164-6120</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Stratonovitch, Pierre" sort="Stratonovitch, Pierre" uniqKey="Stratonovitch P" first="Pierre" last="Stratonovitch">Pierre Stratonovitch</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Computational and Systems Biology Department, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Herts AL5 2JQ, UK.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Computational and Systems Biology Department, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Herts AL5 2JQ</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Herts AL5 2JQ</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Streck, Thilo" sort="Streck, Thilo" uniqKey="Streck T" first="Thilo" last="Streck">Thilo Streck</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, University of Hohenheim, 70599 Stuttgart, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, University of Hohenheim, 70599 Stuttgart</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="land" nuts="1">Bade-Wurtemberg</region><region type="district" nuts="2">District de Stuttgart</region><settlement type="city">Stuttgart</settlement><settlement type="city">Stuttgart</settlement></placeName><orgName type="university">Université de Hohenheim</orgName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Supit, Iwan" sort="Supit, Iwan" uniqKey="Supit I" first="Iwan" last="Supit">Iwan Supit</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>PPS and WSG &CALM, Wageningen University, 6700AA Wageningen, The Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Pays-Bas</country><wicri:regionArea>PPS and WSG &CALM, Wageningen University, 6700AA Wageningen</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université de Wageningue</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Wageningue</settlement><region nuts="2">Gueldre (province)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Tao, Fulu" sort="Tao, Fulu" uniqKey="Tao F" first="Fulu" last="Tao">Fulu Tao</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Latokartanonkaari 9, 00790 Helsinki, Finland.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Finlande</country><wicri:regionArea>Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Latokartanonkaari 9, 00790 Helsinki</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>00790 Helsinki</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Thorburn, Peter" sort="Thorburn, Peter" uniqKey="Thorburn P" first="Peter" last="Thorburn">Peter Thorburn</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>CSIRO Agriculture and Food, St Lucia, Queensland 4067, Australia.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>CSIRO Agriculture and Food, St Lucia, Queensland 4067</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Queensland 4067</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Waha, Katharina" sort="Waha, Katharina" uniqKey="Waha K" first="Katharina" last="Waha">Katharina Waha</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="land" nuts="2">Brandebourg</region><settlement type="city">Potsdam</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wallach, Daniel" sort="Wallach, Daniel" uniqKey="Wallach D" first="Daniel" last="Wallach">Daniel Wallach</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>INRA, UMR 1248 Agrosystèmes et développement territorial (AGIR), 31 326 Castanet-Tolosan, France.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>INRA, UMR 1248 Agrosystèmes et développement territorial (AGIR), 31 326 Castanet-Tolosan</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>31 326 Castanet-Tolosan</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>31 326 Castanet-Tolosan</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wang, Zhimin" sort="Wang, Zhimin" uniqKey="Wang Z" first="Zhimin" last="Wang">Zhimin Wang</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>College of Agronomy and Biotechnology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>College of Agronomy and Biotechnology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Pékin</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wolf, Joost" sort="Wolf, Joost" uniqKey="Wolf J" first="Joost" last="Wolf">Joost Wolf</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>PPS and WSG &CALM, Wageningen University, 6700AA Wageningen, The Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Pays-Bas</country><wicri:regionArea>PPS and WSG &CALM, Wageningen University, 6700AA Wageningen</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université de Wageningue</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Wageningue</settlement><region nuts="2">Gueldre (province)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Zhu, Yan" sort="Zhu, Yan" uniqKey="Zhu Y" first="Yan" last="Zhu">Yan Zhu</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210095, China.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210095</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Jiangsu 210095</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Asseng, Senthold" sort="Asseng, Senthold" uniqKey="Asseng S" first="Senthold" last="Asseng">Senthold Asseng</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida 32611, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida 32611</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Florida 32611</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Nature plants</title><idno type="eISSN">2055-0278</idno><imprint><date when="2017" type="published">2017</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Agriculture</term><term>Computer Simulation</term><term>Crops, Agricultural (growth & development)</term><term>Models, Biological</term><term>Temperature</term></keywords><keywords scheme="KwdFr" xml:lang="fr"><term>Agriculture</term><term>Modèles biologiques</term><term>Produits agricoles (croissance et développement)</term><term>Simulation numérique</term><term>Température</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="croissance et développement" xml:lang="fr"><term>Produits agricoles</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="growth & development" xml:lang="en"><term>Crops, Agricultural</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Agriculture</term><term>Computer Simulation</term><term>Models, Biological</term><term>Temperature</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr"><term>Agriculture</term><term>Modèles biologiques</term><term>Simulation numérique</term><term>Température</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Increasing the accuracy of crop productivity estimates is a key element in planning adaptation strategies to ensure global food security under climate change. Process-based crop models are effective means to project climate impact on crop yield, but have large uncertainty in yield simulations. Here, we show that variations in the mathematical functions currently used to simulate temperature responses of physiological processes in 29 wheat models account for >50% of uncertainty in simulated grain yields for mean growing season temperatures from 14 °C to 33 °C. We derived a set of new temperature response functions that when substituted in four wheat models reduced the error in grain yield simulations across seven global sites with different temperature regimes by 19% to 50% (42% average). We anticipate the improved temperature responses to be a key step to improve modelling of crops under rising temperature and climate change, leading to higher skill of crop yield projections.</div></front></TEI><affiliations><list><country><li>Allemagne</li><li>Australie</li><li>Canada</li><li>Danemark</li><li>Espagne</li><li>Finlande</li><li>France</li><li>Inde</li><li>Italie</li><li>Mexique</li><li>Pays-Bas</li><li>Royaume-Uni</li><li>République populaire de Chine</li><li>États-Unis</li></country><region><li>Angleterre</li><li>Bade-Wurtemberg</li><li>Basse-Saxe</li><li>Brandebourg</li><li>District de Cologne</li><li>District de Stuttgart</li><li>Gueldre (province)</li><li>Maryland</li><li>Rhénanie-du-Nord-Westphalie</li><li>Yorkshire-et-Humber</li></region><settlement><li>Bonn</li><li>College Park (Maryland)</li><li>Göttingen</li><li>Leeds</li><li>Potsdam</li><li>Pékin</li><li>Stuttgart</li><li>Wageningue</li></settlement><orgName><li>Université de Hohenheim</li><li>Université de Leeds</li><li>Université de Wageningue</li><li>Université du Maryland</li></orgName></list><tree><country name="Australie"><noRegion><name sortKey="Wang, Enli" sort="Wang, Enli" uniqKey="Wang E" first="Enli" last="Wang">Enli Wang</name></noRegion><name sortKey="O Leary, Garry" sort="O Leary, Garry" uniqKey="O Leary G" first="Garry" last="O'Leary">Garry O'Leary</name><name sortKey="Thorburn, Peter" sort="Thorburn, Peter" uniqKey="Thorburn P" first="Peter" last="Thorburn">Peter Thorburn</name></country><country name="France"><noRegion><name sortKey="Martre, Pierre" sort="Martre, Pierre" uniqKey="Martre P" first="Pierre" last="Martre">Pierre Martre</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Maiorano, Andrea" sort="Maiorano, Andrea" uniqKey="Maiorano A" first="Andrea" last="Maiorano">Andrea Maiorano</name><name sortKey="Ripoche, Dominique" sort="Ripoche, Dominique" uniqKey="Ripoche D" first="Dominique" last="Ripoche">Dominique Ripoche</name><name sortKey="Wallach, Daniel" sort="Wallach, Daniel" uniqKey="Wallach D" first="Daniel" last="Wallach">Daniel Wallach</name></country><country name="République populaire de Chine"><noRegion><name sortKey="Zhao, Zhigan" sort="Zhao, Zhigan" uniqKey="Zhao Z" first="Zhigan" last="Zhao">Zhigan Zhao</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Liu, Leilei" sort="Liu, Leilei" uniqKey="Liu L" first="Leilei" last="Liu">Leilei Liu</name><name sortKey="Wang, Zhimin" sort="Wang, Zhimin" uniqKey="Wang Z" first="Zhimin" last="Wang">Zhimin Wang</name><name sortKey="Zhu, Yan" sort="Zhu, Yan" uniqKey="Zhu Y" first="Yan" last="Zhu">Yan Zhu</name></country><country name="Allemagne"><region name="Rhénanie-du-Nord-Westphalie"><name sortKey="Ewert, Frank" sort="Ewert, Frank" uniqKey="Ewert F" first="Frank" last="Ewert">Frank Ewert</name></region><name sortKey="Biernath, Christian" sort="Biernath, Christian" uniqKey="Biernath C" first="Christian" last="Biernath">Christian Biernath</name><name sortKey="Eyshi Rezaei, Ehsan" sort="Eyshi Rezaei, Ehsan" uniqKey="Eyshi Rezaei E" first="Ehsan" last="Eyshi Rezaei">Ehsan Eyshi Rezaei</name><name sortKey="Gayler, Sebastian" sort="Gayler, Sebastian" uniqKey="Gayler S" first="Sebastian" last="Gayler">Sebastian Gayler</name><name sortKey="Kersebaum, Kurt C" sort="Kersebaum, Kurt C" uniqKey="Kersebaum K" first="Kurt C" last="Kersebaum">Kurt C. 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Hunt</name></noRegion></country><country name="Danemark"><noRegion><name sortKey="Jabloun, Mohamed" sort="Jabloun, Mohamed" uniqKey="Jabloun M" first="Mohamed" last="Jabloun">Mohamed Jabloun</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Olesen, J Rgen E" sort="Olesen, J Rgen E" uniqKey="Olesen J" first="J Rgen E" last="Olesen">J Rgen E. Olesen</name></country><country name="Finlande"><noRegion><name sortKey="Palosuo, Taru" sort="Palosuo, Taru" uniqKey="Palosuo T" first="Taru" last="Palosuo">Taru Palosuo</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Tao, Fulu" sort="Tao, Fulu" uniqKey="Tao F" first="Fulu" last="Tao">Fulu Tao</name></country><country name="Pays-Bas"><region name="Gueldre (province)"><name sortKey="Supit, Iwan" sort="Supit, Iwan" uniqKey="Supit I" first="Iwan" last="Supit">Iwan Supit</name></region><name sortKey="Wolf, Joost" sort="Wolf, Joost" uniqKey="Wolf J" first="Joost" last="Wolf">Joost Wolf</name></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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